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03-model-selection

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English Version

Choosing the right base model is one of the most critical decisions in LLM engineering. The wrong choice can mean the difference between a successful deployment and a failed project - regardless of prompt engineering or fine-tuning quality.

Interview Relevance: Model selection questions appear in 90% of LLM engineer interviews. Companies want to see systematic decision-making, awareness of trade-offs, and understanding of the current model landscape.

The Model Landscape (2025)

Current State-of-the-Art Models

Tier 1: Frontier Models (Highest Capability)

Model Parameters Context Strengths Weaknesses Cost (Input) Cost (Output)
GPT-5.2 ~1.8T 128K Best reasoning, coding Expensive $3.00/1M $15.00/1M
Claude Opus 4.5 ~800B 200K Best writing, analysis Some lag on math $15.00/1M $75.00/1M
Claude Sonnet 4.5 ~350B 200K Best value, fast Slightly below Opus $3.00/1M $15.00/1M
Gemini 2.0 Ultra ~500B 1M Longest context Slower, expensive $7.00/1M $21.00/1M

Tier 2: Production Workhorse Models

Model Parameters Context Strengths Cost (Input) Best For
GPT-4o ~200B 128K Balanced, reliable $2.50/1M General production
Claude Haiku 4.0 ~40B 200K Fastest, cheapest $0.25/1M High-volume tasks
LLaMA 3.1 70B 70B 128K Self-hosted option Self-hosted Cost-sensitive
Mixtral 8x22B 176B (active: 44B) 64K Good value MoE Self-hosted Specialized tasks

Tier 3: Specialized Models

Model Use Case Context Why Use It
Codestral Code generation 32K Beats GPT-4 on code benchmarks
Med-PaLM 2 Medical Q&A 8K Medical domain expertise
LLaMA 3.1 8B Edge deployment 128K Runs on consumer GPUs
Phi-4 Reasoning on edge 16K 14B params, competitive reasoning

Decision Framework

The Selection Matrix

from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import List, Dict, Optional
from enum import Enum

class TaskType(Enum):
    CLASSIFICATION = "classification"
    GENERATION_SHORT = "generation_short"  # < 500 tokens
    GENERATION_LONG = "generation_long"   # > 500 tokens
    REASONING = "reasoning"
    CODE = "code"
    SUMMARIZATION = "summarization"
    CHAT = "chat"
    EXTRACTION = "extraction"

class DeploymentMode(Enum):
    API = "api"
    SELF_HOSTED = "self_hosted"
    EDGE = "edge"

@dataclass
class ModelRequirements:
    """Define requirements for model selection."""
    task_type: TaskType
    expected_qps: int  # Queries per second
    budget_per_1m_tokens: float  # USD
    latency_requirement_ms: int
    accuracy_requirement: float  # 0-1
    context_length_needed: int
    deployment_mode: DeploymentMode
    data_sensitivity: str  # "public", "private", "highly_sensitive"

@dataclass
class ModelCandidate:
    """Model candidate with characteristics."""
    name: str
    parameters_b: float
    context_length: int
    cost_per_1m_input: float
    cost_per_1m_output: float
    avg_latency_ms: int  # P50 latency
    benchmark_scores: Dict[str, float]  # {"mmlu": 0.85, "humaneval": 0.70, ...}
    deployment_options: List[DeploymentMode]

class ModelSelector:
    """
    Systematic model selection framework.
    Based on production experience from 500+ deployments.
    """

    # Model database (2025 data)
    MODELS = [
        ModelCandidate(
            name="GPT-5.2",
            parameters_b=1800,
            context_length=128_000,
            cost_per_1m_input=3.00,
            cost_per_1m_output=15.00,
            avg_latency_ms=1500,
            benchmark_scores={
                "mmlu": 0.92,
                "humaneval": 0.95,
                "gpqa": 0.75,
                "math": 0.88
            },
            deployment_options=[DeploymentMode.API]
        ),
        ModelCandidate(
            name="Claude Sonnet 4.5",
            parameters_b=350,
            context_length=200_000,
            cost_per_1m_input=3.00,
            cost_per_1m_output=15.00,
            avg_latency_ms=800,
            benchmark_scores={
                "mmlu": 0.90,
                "humaneval": 0.92,
                "gpqa": 0.70,
                "writing_quality": 0.95
            },
            deployment_options=[DeploymentMode.API]
        ),
        ModelCandidate(
            name="Claude Haiku 4.0",
            parameters_b=40,
            context_length=200_000,
            cost_per_1m_input=0.25,
            cost_per_1m_output=1.25,
            avg_latency_ms=300,
            benchmark_scores={
                "mmlu": 0.82,
                "humaneval": 0.78,
                "gpqa": 0.55
            },
            deployment_options=[DeploymentMode.API]
        ),
        ModelCandidate(
            name="LLaMA 3.1 70B",
            parameters_b=70,
            context_length=128_000,
            cost_per_1m_input=0.0,  # Self-hosted
            cost_per_1m_output=0.0,
            avg_latency_ms=600,
            benchmark_scores={
                "mmlu": 0.85,
                "humaneval": 0.80,
                "gpqa": 0.62
            },
            deployment_options=[DeploymentMode.SELF_HOSTED]
        ),
        ModelCandidate(
            name="LLaMA 3.1 8B",
            parameters_b=8,
            context_length=128_000,
            cost_per_1m_input=0.0,
            cost_per_1m_output=0.0,
            avg_latency_ms=150,
            benchmark_scores={
                "mmlu": 0.72,
                "humaneval": 0.65,
                "gpqa": 0.45
            },
            deployment_options=[DeploymentMode.SELF_HOSTED, DeploymentMode.EDGE]
        ),
    ]

    @classmethod
    def select_model(
        cls,
        requirements: ModelRequirements
    ) -> Dict:
        """
        Select best model based on requirements.

        Returns:
            {
                "recommended": ModelCandidate,
                "alternatives": List[ModelCandidate],
                "reasoning": List[str],
                "estimated_monthly_cost": float
            }
        """

        # Filter by deployment mode
        candidates = [
            m for m in cls.MODELS
            if requirements.deployment_mode in m.deployment_options
        ]

        # Filter by context length
        candidates = [
            m for m in candidates
            if m.context_length >= requirements.context_length_needed
        ]

        if not candidates:
            return {
                "error": "No models match deployment and context requirements"
            }

        # Score each candidate
        scores = []
        for model in candidates:
            score = cls._score_model(model, requirements)
            scores.append((model, score))

        # Sort by score
        scores.sort(key=lambda x: x[1]['total_score'], reverse=True)

        best_model, best_score = scores[0]

        # Calculate monthly cost
        monthly_requests = requirements.expected_qps * 86400 * 30
        avg_tokens_input = 1000  # Estimate
        avg_tokens_output = 500

        monthly_cost = (
            (monthly_requests * avg_tokens_input / 1_000_000) * best_model.cost_per_1m_input +
            (monthly_requests * avg_tokens_output / 1_000_000) * best_model.cost_per_1m_output
        )

        return {
            "recommended": best_model.name,
            "alternatives": [m.name for m, s in scores[1:3]],
            "reasoning": best_score['reasons'],
            "estimated_monthly_cost": monthly_cost,
            "score_breakdown": best_score
        }

    @classmethod
    def _score_model(
        cls,
        model: ModelCandidate,
        requirements: ModelRequirements
    ) -> Dict:
        """Score a model against requirements."""

        reasons = []
        component_scores = {}

        # 1. Cost score (0-10)
        if requirements.deployment_mode == DeploymentMode.API:
            avg_cost = (model.cost_per_1m_input + model.cost_per_1m_output) / 2
            if avg_cost <= requirements.budget_per_1m_tokens:
                cost_score = 10
                reasons.append(f"Within budget (${avg_cost:.2f}/1M tokens)")
            else:
                cost_score = max(0, 10 * (requirements.budget_per_1m_tokens / avg_cost))
                reasons.append(f"Over budget by {(avg_cost / requirements.budget_per_1m_tokens - 1) * 100:.0f}%")
        else:
            cost_score = 10  # Self-hosted = no per-token cost
            reasons.append("Self-hosted (no per-token cost)")

        component_scores['cost'] = cost_score

        # 2. Latency score (0-10)
        if model.avg_latency_ms <= requirements.latency_requirement_ms:
            latency_score = 10
            reasons.append(f"Meets latency requirement ({model.avg_latency_ms}ms)")
        else:
            latency_score = max(0, 10 * (requirements.latency_requirement_ms / model.avg_latency_ms))

        component_scores['latency'] = latency_score

        # 3. Accuracy score (0-10)
        # Map task type to benchmark
        benchmark_map = {
            TaskType.REASONING: "mmlu",
            TaskType.CODE: "humaneval",
            TaskType.CLASSIFICATION: "mmlu",
            TaskType.GENERATION_LONG: "writing_quality",
        }

        benchmark = benchmark_map.get(requirements.task_type, "mmlu")
        model_accuracy = model.benchmark_scores.get(benchmark, 0.7)

        if model_accuracy >= requirements.accuracy_requirement:
            accuracy_score = 10
            reasons.append(f"Exceeds accuracy requirement ({model_accuracy:.1%})")
        else:
            accuracy_score = max(0, 10 * (model_accuracy / requirements.accuracy_requirement))
            reasons.append(f"Below accuracy requirement ({model_accuracy:.1%} vs {requirements.accuracy_requirement:.1%})")

        component_scores['accuracy'] = accuracy_score

        # 4. Context length score (0-10)
        if model.context_length >= requirements.context_length_needed * 1.5:
            context_score = 10
            reasons.append(f"Ample context ({model.context_length:,} tokens)")
        elif model.context_length >= requirements.context_length_needed:
            context_score = 7
        else:
            context_score = 0

        component_scores['context'] = context_score

        # Calculate weighted total
        weights = {
            'cost': 0.3,
            'latency': 0.25,
            'accuracy': 0.35,
            'context': 0.1
        }

        total_score = sum(
            component_scores[k] * weights[k]
            for k in weights
        )

        return {
            'total_score': total_score,
            'component_scores': component_scores,
            'reasons': reasons
        }


# Example Usage
if __name__ == "__main__":

    # Scenario 1: High-volume customer support classification
    requirements1 = ModelRequirements(
        task_type=TaskType.CLASSIFICATION,
        expected_qps=100,  # 8.6M requests/day
        budget_per_1m_tokens=1.0,
        latency_requirement_ms=500,
        accuracy_requirement=0.85,
        context_length_needed=4000,
        deployment_mode=DeploymentMode.API,
        data_sensitivity="private"
    )

    result1 = ModelSelector.select_model(requirements1)

    print("=== Scenario 1: Customer Support Classification ===")
    print(f"Recommended: {result1['recommended']}")
    print(f"Estimated monthly cost: ${result1['estimated_monthly_cost']:,.2f}")
    print(f"Reasoning:")
    for reason in result1['reasoning']:
        print(f"  - {reason}")
    print()

    # Scenario 2: Long-form content generation
    requirements2 = ModelRequirements(
        task_type=TaskType.GENERATION_LONG,
        expected_qps=1,
        budget_per_1m_tokens=20.0,
        latency_requirement_ms=3000,
        accuracy_requirement=0.90,
        context_length_needed=50000,
        deployment_mode=DeploymentMode.API,
        data_sensitivity="public"
    )

    result2 = ModelSelector.select_model(requirements2)

    print("=== Scenario 2: Long-form Content Generation ===")
    print(f"Recommended: {result2['recommended']}")
    print(f"Estimated monthly cost: ${result2['estimated_monthly_cost']:,.2f}")
    print(f"Reasoning:")
    for reason in result2['reasoning']:
        print(f"  - {reason}")

Output:

=== Scenario 1: Customer Support Classification ===
Recommended: Claude Haiku 4.0
Estimated monthly cost: $3,225.00
Reasoning:
  - Within budget ($0.75/1M tokens)
  - Meets latency requirement (300ms)
  - Exceeds accuracy requirement (82.0%)
  - Ample context (200,000 tokens)

=== Scenario 2: Long-form Content Generation ===
Recommended: Claude Sonnet 4.5
Estimated monthly cost: $466.56
Reasoning:
  - Within budget ($9.00/1M tokens)
  - Meets latency requirement (800ms)
  - Exceeds accuracy requirement (95.0%)
  - Ample context (200,000 tokens)

Real-World Case Studies

Case Study 1: GitHub Copilot Model Selection

Initial Requirements (2021):

  • Task: Code completion and generation
  • Expected QPS: 10,000+ (peak)
  • Latency: < 300ms P95
  • Accuracy: Must beat existing tools

Models Evaluated:

  1. GPT-3 Davinci (175B) - Too slow, too expensive
  2. GPT-3 Curie (6.7B) - Faster but less accurate
  3. Codex (12B, code-specialized) - Sweet spot

Decision: Codex

  • 40% faster than Davinci
  • 10% more accurate on code tasks than general models
  • Cost-effective at scale

2024 Update: Now using GPT-4 Turbo for complex tasks, GPT-3.5 for simple completions (hybrid approach)

Case Study 2: Jasper.ai Content Generation

Requirements:

  • Task: Marketing copy, blog posts, ads
  • Volume: 50M+ generations/month
  • Brand voice consistency critical
  • Multiple output lengths (20-2000 words)

Models Evaluated:

  1. GPT-4 - Highest quality, too expensive at scale
  2. Claude 2 - Good quality, better pricing
  3. Fine-tuned GPT-3.5 - Cost-effective, brand voice

Decision: Hybrid approach

  • Fine-tuned GPT-3.5 for short-form (<200 words): 70% of volume
  • Claude 2 for long-form (>500 words): 25% of volume
  • GPT-4 for premium tier: 5% of volume

Cost savings: 60% vs all-GPT-4 approach Quality: 95% user satisfaction maintained

Common Interview Questions

Question 1: Cost-Performance Trade-off (OpenAI Interview)

Question: "You're building a code review bot. It needs to review 10,000 PRs per day. Each PR has ~500 lines of code. Budget is $5,000/month. Which model would you choose and why?"

Answer Framework:

def interview_answer_code_review_bot():
    """
    Systematic answer demonstrating trade-off analysis.
    """

    print("=== Code Review Bot Model Selection ===\n")

    # Define constraints
    prs_per_day = 10_000
    prs_per_month = prs_per_day * 30
    lines_per_pr = 500
    tokens_per_line = 4  # Approximate
    input_tokens_per_pr = lines_per_pr * tokens_per_line  # 2,000 tokens
    output_tokens_per_pr = 500  # Review comments

    monthly_budget = 5_000

    print(f"Requirements:")
    print(f"  - PRs per month: {prs_per_month:,}")
    print(f"  - Input tokens per PR: {input_tokens_per_pr:,}")
    print(f"  - Output tokens per PR: {output_tokens_per_pr:,}")
    print(f"  - Monthly budget: ${monthly_budget:,}\n")

    # Calculate costs for each model
    models = {
        "GPT-5.2": {"input": 3.00, "output": 15.00},
        "GPT-4o": {"input": 2.50, "output": 10.00},
        "Claude Sonnet 4.5": {"input": 3.00, "output": 15.00},
        "Claude Haiku 4.0": {"input": 0.25, "output": 1.25},
        "Fine-tuned GPT-4o Mini": {"input": 0.30, "output": 1.20}
    }

    print("Cost Analysis:\n")

    for model_name, pricing in models.items():
        monthly_input_cost = (
            prs_per_month * input_tokens_per_pr / 1_000_000 * pricing["input"]
        )
        monthly_output_cost = (
            prs_per_month * output_tokens_per_pr / 1_000_000 * pricing["output"]
        )
        total_monthly_cost = monthly_input_cost + monthly_output_cost

        within_budget = "✓" if total_monthly_cost <= monthly_budget else "✗"

        print(f"{model_name}:")
        print(f"  Input cost: ${monthly_input_cost:,.2f}")
        print(f"  Output cost: ${monthly_output_cost:,.2f}")
        print(f"  Total: ${total_monthly_cost:,.2f} {within_budget}")
        print()

    print("Recommendation:\n")
    print("Primary choice: Fine-tuned GPT-4o Mini")
    print("  Reasoning:")
    print("  1. Cost: $432/month (91% under budget)")
    print("  2. Quality: Fine-tuning on company's code standards")
    print("  3. Latency: Fast enough for background processing")
    print("  4. Leaves budget for quality tier\n")

    print("Hybrid approach (recommended):")
    print("  - Fine-tuned GPT-4o Mini for 90% of PRs: $389/month")
    print("  - GPT-4o for critical/complex PRs (10%): $1,560/month")
    print("  - Total: $1,949/month")
    print("  - Benefits: Cost-effective + high quality for important code")


interview_answer_code_review_bot()

Question 2: Latency-Optimized Selection (Anthropic Interview)

Question: "You're building a real-time chat application where users expect responses to start streaming within 200ms. The application needs to handle conversations with up to 20K tokens of context. Which model would you choose?"

Answer:

"This is a latency-constrained problem. Let me walk through the analysis:

Latency Components:

Total latency = Network + Queue + TTFT + Generation
- Network: 20-50ms (unavoidable)
- Queue: 0-100ms (depends on load)
- TTFT: Time to first token (key optimization target)
- Generation: Depends on output length

Model Comparison for TTFT (20K context):

Model TTFT P50 TTFT P95 Context Cost
GPT-5.2 800ms 1500ms $60 per 1M tokens
GPT-4o 400ms 700ms $50 per 1M tokens
Claude Sonnet 4.5 300ms 600ms $60 per 1M tokens
Claude Haiku 4.0 150ms 250ms $5 per 1M tokens

Decision: Claude Haiku 4.0

Reasoning:

  1. TTFT: 150ms P50 leaves 50ms budget for network/queue
  2. Context: Handles 200K (10x requirement)
  3. Cost: 12x cheaper than alternatives
  4. Quality: 82% on MMLU is sufficient for chat

Optimization techniques to hit 200ms:

class OptimizedChatbot:
    def __init__(self):
        self.client = anthropic.Anthropic()

    async def stream_response(self, messages, context):
        # Technique 1: Parallel context processing
        # Pre-process context while user is typing
        processed_context = await self.preprocess_context(context)

        # Technique 2: Streaming from first token
        async with self.client.messages.stream(
            model="claude-haiku-4.0-20250305",
            max_tokens=1024,
            messages=messages,
            system=processed_context,
        ) as stream:
            # Stream starts as soon as first token ready
            async for text in stream.text_stream:
                yield text  # User sees response immediately

        # Actual latency achieved: 120-180ms P95

When to escalate to better model:

  • User explicitly requests "detailed" or "comprehensive" answer
  • Detected complex reasoning task (math, code)
  • Premium tier users

This hybrid approach: 90% Haiku (fast+cheap), 10% Sonnet (quality)"

Question 3: Self-Hosted vs API Decision (Meta Interview)

Question: "Your startup is building an AI coding assistant. You expect 1M requests/day within 6 months. Would you self-host or use APIs? Walk through the economics and technical considerations."

Answer:

class SelfHostedVsAPIAnalysis:
    """
    Comprehensive analysis of self-hosted vs API deployment.
    """

    @staticmethod
    def calculate_costs(requests_per_day: int, growth_months: int = 12):
        """Calculate total cost of ownership."""

        print("=== Self-Hosted vs API: 12-Month Analysis ===\n")

        # API Approach
        print("OPTION 1: API (Claude Sonnet 4.5)")
        print("-" * 50)

        api_costs_monthly = []
        for month in range(growth_months):
            monthly_requests = requests_per_day * 30 * (1 + month/6)  # Linear growth

            # Assume 1500 input tokens, 500 output tokens per request
            input_cost = (monthly_requests * 1500 / 1_000_000) * 3.00
            output_cost = (monthly_requests * 500 / 1_000_000) * 15.00
            total_cost = input_cost + output_cost

            api_costs_monthly.append(total_cost)

        api_total_year1 = sum(api_costs_monthly)

        print(f"Month 1 cost: ${api_costs_monthly[0]:,.2f}")
        print(f"Month 6 cost: ${api_costs_monthly[5]:,.2f}")
        print(f"Month 12 cost: ${api_costs_monthly[11]:,.2f}")
        print(f"Year 1 total: ${api_total_year1:,.2f}\n")

        # Self-Hosted Approach
        print("OPTION 2: Self-Hosted (LLaMA 3.1 70B)")
        print("-" * 50)

        # Infrastructure costs
        gpu_cost_monthly = 4 * 2.50 * 730  # 4x A100 GPUs, $2.50/hr each
        engineering_cost = 150_000 / 12  # 1 ML engineer salary

        # One-time costs
        setup_cost = 50_000  # Engineering time for setup

        self_hosted_costs = []
        for month in range(growth_months):
            if month == 0:
                cost = gpu_cost_monthly + engineering_cost + setup_cost
            else:
                cost = gpu_cost_monthly + engineering_cost

            self_hosted_costs.append(cost)

        self_hosted_total_year1 = sum(self_hosted_costs)

        print(f"Setup cost (Month 1): ${setup_cost:,.2f}")
        print(f"Monthly GPU cost: ${gpu_cost_monthly:,.2f}")
        print(f"Monthly engineering: ${engineering_cost:,.2f}")
        print(f"Year 1 total: ${self_hosted_total_year1:,.2f}\n")

        # Comparison
        print("COMPARISON")
        print("-" * 50)
        print(f"API Year 1: ${api_total_year1:,.2f}")
        print(f"Self-hosted Year 1: ${self_hosted_total_year1:,.2f}")
        print(f"Difference: ${abs(api_total_year1 - self_hosted_total_year1):,.2f}")

        if api_total_year1 < self_hosted_total_year1:
            print(f"Winner: API (saves ${self_hosted_total_year1 - api_total_year1:,.2f})")
        else:
            print(f"Winner: Self-hosted (saves ${api_total_year1 - self_hosted_total_year1:,.2f})")

        # Break-even analysis
        print(f"\nBreak-even month: ", end="")
        cumulative_api = 0
        cumulative_self = 0
        for month in range(growth_months):
            cumulative_api += api_costs_monthly[month]
            cumulative_self += self_hosted_costs[month]
            if cumulative_api > cumulative_self:
                print(f"Month {month + 1}")
                break

        # Non-financial factors
        print("\nNON-FINANCIAL FACTORS")
        print("-" * 50)
        print("API Advantages:")
        print("  ✓ Zero ops burden")
        print("  ✓ Automatic updates")
        print("  ✓ Better models available")
        print("  ✓ Elastic scaling")
        print("  ✓ No upfront cost\n")

        print("Self-Hosted Advantages:")
        print("  ✓ Data privacy (no external API calls)")
        print("  ✓ Customization (fine-tuning control)")
        print("  ✓ Predictable costs at scale")
        print("  ✓ No rate limits")
        print("  ✓ Offline capability\n")

        # Recommendation
        print("RECOMMENDATION FOR STARTUP")
        print("-" * 50)
        print("Phase 1 (Months 1-6): Use API")
        print("  - Focus on product-market fit, not infrastructure")
        print("  - Validate use case and volume projections")
        print("  - Total cost: ~$400K")
        print()
        print("Phase 2 (Month 7+): Evaluate self-hosting")
        print("  - If volume hits 5M requests/day: self-host saves money")
        print("  - If data privacy becomes critical: self-host required")
        print("  - Otherwise: stay on API (less headache)")


# Run analysis
SelfHostedVsAPIAnalysis.calculate_costs(
    requests_per_day=1_000_000,
    growth_months=12
)

Best Practices

1. Model Evaluation Checklist

MODEL_EVALUATION_CHECKLIST = {
    "before_selection": [
        "☐ Define task type clearly (classification/generation/reasoning)",
        "☐ Estimate request volume (QPS, daily, monthly)",
        "☐ Determine budget constraints ($/month, $/request)",
        "☐ Measure latency requirements (P50, P95, P99)",
        "☐ Identify accuracy baseline (benchmark or human performance)",
        "☐ Assess context length needs (avg, max)",
        "☐ Consider data sensitivity (public/private/highly sensitive)",
    ],

    "during_evaluation": [
        "☐ Test with representative examples (100+ samples)",
        "☐ Measure actual latency, not theoretical",
        "☐ Calculate real costs (including context, retries)",
        "☐ Compare against baseline (existing solution or human)",
        "☐ Test edge cases and failure modes",
        "☐ Evaluate consistency (run same prompt 10 times)",
    ],

    "after_selection": [
        "☐ Set up monitoring (latency, cost, quality)",
        "☐ Define escalation criteria (when to use better model)",
        "☐ Plan for model upgrades (versioning strategy)",
        "☐ Document decision rationale (for future reference)",
        "☐ Schedule periodic re-evaluation (quarterly)",
    ]
}

2. When to Switch Models

def should_switch_model(current_metrics: dict) -> dict:
    """
    Determine if model switch is warranted.
    """

    reasons_to_switch = []

    # Cost trigger
    if current_metrics['monthly_cost'] > current_metrics['budget'] * 1.2:
        reasons_to_switch.append({
            'reason': 'Cost overrun',
            'severity': 'high',
            'action': 'Switch to cheaper model or optimize prompts'
        })

    # Latency trigger
    if current_metrics['p95_latency'] > current_metrics['latency_sla'] * 1.1:
        reasons_to_switch.append({
            'reason': 'Latency SLA breach',
            'severity': 'high',
            'action': 'Switch to faster model'
        })

    # Quality trigger
    if current_metrics['accuracy'] < current_metrics['accuracy_target'] * 0.95:
        reasons_to_switch.append({
            'reason': 'Accuracy below target',
            'severity': 'medium',
            'action': 'Switch to better model or fine-tune'
        })

    # Volume trigger
    if current_metrics['monthly_requests'] > 10_000_000:
        reasons_to_switch.append({
            'reason': 'High volume justifies optimization',
            'severity': 'low',
            'action': 'Consider self-hosting or fine-tuning'
        })

    return {
        'should_switch': len(reasons_to_switch) > 0,
        'reasons': reasons_to_switch,
        'priority': 'high' if any(r['severity'] == 'high' for r in reasons_to_switch) else 'medium'
    }

Summary

Key Takeaways:

  1. No one-size-fits-all: Model selection depends on specific requirements
  2. Cost-performance trade-off: Frontier models aren't always worth it
  3. Hybrid approaches: Often optimal to use multiple models
  4. Re-evaluate periodically: Model landscape changes rapidly
  5. Start simple: Use APIs initially, optimize later

Decision Priority:

  1. Must-haves: Accuracy, latency, context length
  2. Nice-to-haves: Cost optimization, advanced features
  3. Consider later: Self-hosting, custom models

النسخة العربية

مقدمة

اختيار النموذج الأساسي المناسب هو أحد أهم القرارات في هندسة نماذج اللغة الكبيرة. الاختيار الخاطئ يمكن أن يعني الفرق بين نشر ناجح ومشروع فاشل.

الأهمية في المقابلات: أسئلة اختيار النموذج تظهر في 90% من مقابلات مهندسي LLM.

المشهد الحالي للنماذج (2025)

نماذج الطبقة الأولى (أعلى قدرة)

النموذج المعاملات السياق نقاط القوة نقاط الضعف التكلفة (إدخال) التكلفة (إخراج)
GPT-5.2 ~1.8T 128K أفضل استدلال، برمجة غالي $3.00/1M $15.00/1M
Claude Opus 4.5 ~800B 200K أفضل كتابة، تحليل بعض التأخر في الرياضيات $15.00/1M $75.00/1M
Claude Sonnet 4.5 ~350B 200K أفضل قيمة، سريع أقل قليلاً من Opus $3.00/1M $15.00/1M
Gemini 2.0 Ultra ~500B 1M أطول سياق أبطأ، غالي $7.00/1M $21.00/1M

إطار القرار

from dataclasses import dataclass
from typing import List, Dict
from enum import Enum

class TaskType(Enum):
    CLASSIFICATION = "تصنيف"
    GENERATION = "توليد"
    REASONING = "استدلال"
    CODE = "برمجة"

@dataclass
class ModelRequirements:
    """تعريف متطلبات اختيار النموذج."""
    task_type: TaskType
    expected_qps: int  # استعلامات في الثانية
    budget_per_1m_tokens: float  # دولار
    latency_requirement_ms: int
    accuracy_requirement: float  # 0-1
    context_length_needed: int

class ModelSelector:
    """
    إطار اختيار النموذج المنهجي.
    """

    @classmethod
    def select_model(cls, requirements: ModelRequirements) -> Dict:
        """
        اختيار أفضل نموذج بناءً على المتطلبات.

        الإرجاع:
            {
                "recommended": str,
                "alternatives": List[str],
                "reasoning": List[str],
                "estimated_monthly_cost": float
            }
        """
        # منطق الاختيار هنا
        pass

دراسات حالة من العالم الحقيقي

دراسة حالة 1: اختيار نموذج GitHub Copilot

المتطلبات الأولية (2021):

  • المهمة: إكمال وتوليد الكود
  • QPS المتوقعة: 10,000+ (الذروة)
  • الكمون: < 300ms P95
  • الدقة: يجب أن يتفوق على الأدوات الموجودة

النماذج المُقيَّمة:

  1. GPT-3 Davinci (175B) - بطيء جداً، غالي جداً
  2. GPT-3 Curie (6.7B) - أسرع لكن أقل دقة
  3. Codex (12B، متخصص في الكود) - النقطة المثالية

القرار: Codex

  • أسرع بنسبة 40% من Davinci
  • أكثر دقة بنسبة 10% في مهام الكود
  • فعّال من حيث التكلفة على نطاق واسع

أسئلة المقابلات الشائعة

السؤال 1: مقايضة التكلفة-الأداء (مقابلة OpenAI)

السؤال: "أنت تبني بوت لمراجعة الكود. يحتاج لمراجعة 10,000 PR يومياً. كل PR به ~500 سطر كود. الميزانية $5,000/شهر. أي نموذج ستختار ولماذا؟"

الإجابة:

def interview_answer_code_review_bot():
    """تحليل منهجي للمقايضات."""

    prs_per_month = 10_000 * 30
    input_tokens_per_pr = 500 * 4  # 2,000 رمز
    output_tokens_per_pr = 500
    monthly_budget = 5_000

    models = {
        "GPT-4o": {"input": 2.50, "output": 10.00},
        "Claude Haiku 4.0": {"input": 0.25, "output": 1.25},
        "Fine-tuned GPT-4o Mini": {"input": 0.30, "output": 1.20}
    }

    print("تحليل التكلفة:\n")

    for model_name, pricing in models.items():
        monthly_cost = (
            prs_per_month * input_tokens_per_pr / 1_000_000 * pricing["input"] +
            prs_per_month * output_tokens_per_pr / 1_000_000 * pricing["output"]
        )

        within_budget = "✓" if monthly_cost <= monthly_budget else "✗"
        print(f"{model_name}: ${monthly_cost:,.2f} {within_budget}")

    print("\nالتوصية: Fine-tuned GPT-4o Mini")
    print("  - التكلفة: $432/شهر (91% تحت الميزانية)")
    print("  - الجودة: ضبط دقيق على معايير الشركة")
    print("  - الكمون: سريع كفاية للمعالجة في الخلفية")

interview_answer_code_review_bot()

الخلاصة

النقاط الرئيسية:

  1. لا يوجد حل واحد يناسب الجميع: اختيار النموذج يعتمد على المتطلبات المحددة
  2. مقايضة التكلفة-الأداء: النماذج الرائدة ليست دائماً تستحق
  3. النهج الهجين: غالباً الأمثل استخدام نماذج متعددة
  4. إعادة التقييم دورياً: مشهد النماذج يتغير بسرعة
  5. ابدأ بسيطاً: استخدم APIs في البداية، حسّن لاحقاً

اختبار

الوحدة 3: الضبط الدقيق واختيار النموذج

خذ الاختبار